Yesterday saw Chancellor Phillip Hammond deliver his second budget.  While the abolition of Stamp Duty, several tax revisions, freezes on several duties, increased investment in AI and Technology and a £3 billion investment into the NHS all came as welcome additions they could not prevent a sharp drop in the UK Growth Forecast following the budget.

So with many experts labelling it a ‘make or break’ moment for Hammond and a somewhat beleaguered Government, we spoke to the industry experts to see what the Autumn budget really means for the Financial Sector in a special extended Your Thoughts: Autumn Budget 2017

Choose your sector below or scroll through to read all the insight.

FinTech & Digital
UK Growth, Investment & Forex
Tax
Healthcare & Retail
Property & Real Estate

FinTech & Digital

Abe Smith, CEO and Founder at Dealflo

London has been a world-leading financial centre since the 19th century, but low growth forecasts and the lack of clarity around Brexit are unsettling for businesses. The Chancellor has had to work hard to ensure that the UK remains an attractive place to invest and innovate post-Brexit. The new National Investment Fund means that even after Brexit, the UK will remain a hub for FinTech innovation and will attract fast-growing tech companies.

Niels Turfboer, Managing Director of UK & Benelux, Spotcap:

The FinTech industry is going from strength to strength and the UK Government can play an important part in enabling FinTechs to continue to thrive.

We therefore welcome Philip Hammond’s promise to invest over £500m in numerous technology initiatives, including artificial intelligence and regulatory innovation, as well as unlock over £20bn of new investment in UK scale-up businesses.

With this assurance, the government has shown a strong commitment to the FinTech sector, which will hopefully help tech companies all around the UK to flourish and grow.

World Economic Forum member Jane Zavalishina, CEO of Yandex Data Factory

The reality is that it is not the scientific development of AI that will be game-changing in the next few years, but instead the more prosaic, practical application of AI across many different sectors.

While AI is too often associated with self-driving cars and robots, the truth is the most significant AI applications that are of most significance to businesses, are actually the least visually exciting. AI that improves decision-making, optimises existing processes and delivers more accurate demand prediction will boost productivity far more powerfully than in all sectors.

But it’s not just productivity that will be significantly impacted – business revenue will also benefit. The beauty of AI lies in its ability to be applied with no capital investments – making it an affordable innovation for businesses to adopt. Unlike what is commonly thought, applying AI does not require infrastructure changes – in many processes cases we already have automated process control, so adding AI on top would require no investment at all. Instead, companies will see ROI within just a few months.

Martin Port, Founder and CEO BigChange:

We welcome this announcement and support for tech businesses from the Chancellor. Financial backing and stability is a huge hurdle facing all start-ups, so I am pleased to see the government pledge more than £20 billion of new investment. I just hope this funding is easy to access and readily available for those who need it, rather than being hidden among reams of red tape.

Leon Deakin, Partner in the technology team at Coffin Mew:

As a firm with a growing technology sector and client base in this area we are obviously delighted to see specific investment in the technology sector, particularly in AI and driverless vehicles.

Doom mongers have long been predicting that the UK and its tech hubs will be hit hard by Brexit and there have been numerous reports of rival cities within the EU which have sought to position themselves as alternative options. However, we are yet to see this materialise and incentives and commitments such as those announced by the Chancellor in these innovative but essential areas have to be great news for the economy, the sector and those who advise businesses in it.

Of course, creating the next unicorn is no easy task but a serious level of investment of the magnitude announced should at least ensure those businesses with promise have the best chance to scale up even if they don’t reach the $1billion level. Likewise, there is little point developing these new technologies if the infrastructure and support is then not there to utilise them properly

Matthew Adam, Chief Executive Officer of We Are Digital:

With the UK economy now expected to grow by 1.5% in 2017, a downgrade from the 2% forecast made in March, coupled with the challenges of Brexit, the need for the UK to sit at the forefront of digital skills and inclusion is more pressing than ever. We need to be able to grasp, with both hands, the digital opportunities that present themselves to us in order to make us a true global digital force.

The reality is that we simply cannot afford not to. Independent analysis shows that getting the UK online and understanding how to use digital tools could add between £63 billion - £92 billion to UK Plc’s annual GDP. Indeed, it is my belief that economies which focus strongly on getting its citizens online are also more productive.

The Chancellor has said that a new high-tech business is founded in the UK every hour, which he wants to increase to every half hour. It is imperative we support this growth through the announced £500m investment in artificial intelligence, to 5G and full-fibre broadband. However, to bridge the need for the 1.2 million new technical and digitally skilled people which are required by 2022, we must create and support retraining opportunities across society to make the UK truly digital.

Technology improvements are causing widespread changes in every market and the public sector should be no exception, especially as it often faces the biggest social problems to solve. I’m glad the government is waking up to the fact that the latest technological advances don’t need to be assigned only to the private sector, but can do a lot of good to the community at large. We know from our direct work with the Home Office that every government and council department is moving its processes online. Whether it’s chatbots to automate processes, or solving how people engage with Universal Credit, there is so much we can do here with ‘Gov -tech’

I therefore welcome the Chancellor’s digital announcements today and consider this budget as not so much a leap in the right digital direction, but more a necessary conservative step.

UK Growth, Forex & Investment

Owain Walters, CEO of Frontierpay:

The Chancellor’s efforts to win younger voters from Labour by abolishing stamp relief for first-time buyers on homes up to £300,000, and on the first £300,000 of properties up to £500,000, come as no surprise. The potential for such an announcement has been a hot media topic in recent weeks and as such, we don’t expect to see any significant impact on the value of the pound.

“In the wake of this Budget, any real movement from the pound will be caused either by developments in the Brexit negotiations or the potential for a further interest rate rise. I would therefore advise any businesses that want to stay on top of turbulence in the currency markets to keep a close eye on inflation data.

Markus Kuger, Senior Economist, Dun & Bradstreet

It’s not surprising that the Chancellor opened this year’s statement with a focus on Brexit; even as businesses absorb the implications of the Budget, they have a close eye to the ongoing negotiations and any likely trade agreement, which is likely to profoundly impact their future. The government’s move to provide a £3bn fund in the event of a no-deal outcome is designed to increase business confidence. In the meantime the business environment remains challenging, and Dun & Bradstreet forecasts that real GDP growth in 2018 will slow to 1.3% (from 1.8% in 2016). Businesses should continue to follow the Brexit negotiations closely and consider that operating conditions could change dramatically over the next 18 months as the Brexit settlement is clarified.”

 Damian Kimmelman, CEO of Duedil

We welcome the government’s announcement that the Enterprise Investment Schemes’ (EIS) investment limit, for knowledge intensive scale-ups has been doubled.

The EIS has been great for attracting investment for small businesses, however we need to ensure investment through the scheme is not being used for capital preservation purposes, but instead to encourage the growth of companies.

The key to increasing investment in ‘higher risk’ growth companies through the EIS scheme, is to eliminate information friction. With more data, investors can price risk effectively, so they can lend to support the small businesses forming the backbone of the economy, driving growth, and creating jobs.

Lee Wild, Head of Equity Strategy at Interactive Investor:

This budget was always going to be especially tricky for the chancellor. Hitting fiscal targets amid wide divisions over Brexit, while also spending more on populist policies to distract voters from Conservative party infighting and dysfunctional cabinet, was a big ask.  Hammond wasn’t fibbing when he promised a balanced budget. Once tax giveaways, downgrades to growth forecasts, billions more for the NHS and the rest are put through the mincer, both the FTSE 100 and sterling are unchanged.

Given Britain’s housing crisis was an obvious target for the chancellor, he really needed something substantial to make his aim of 300,000 new homes built every year anything more than a pipe dream.  Committing to at least £44 billion of capital funding, loans and guarantees to support the housing market will go a long way to achieving the chancellor’s ambitious target. Abolishing stamp duty for first-time buyer purchases up to £300,000 is a tiny saving, however, and buyers, especially in London, will still require a huge deposit to get a foot on the housing ladder.

The market hung on Hammond’s every word, causing a comical yo-yo effect as the chancellor slowly revealed his strategy.  A threat to use compulsory purchase powers where builders are believed to be holding land for commercial reasons, could cause sleepless nights.

Overall, Hammond’s ideas are sound, but probably not enough of a catalyst to get sector share prices rising significantly near-term, given mixed results in the run-up to this budget.

Mihir Kapadia – CEO and Founder of Sun Global Investments:

The Autumn budget statement from Chancellor Phillip Hammond was as expected, with a few pleasant surprises. While Mr Hammond set out his policy proposals with a "vision for post-Brexit Britain", he also acknowledged that his Budget was "about much more than Brexit".  With the Conservatives struggling in the polls, the Chancellor was under pressure to regain support for his party, which is currently in a fragile coalition.

The expected announcements include the decision to abolish stamp duty for first time buyers on properties up to £300,000, addressing the housing crisis, an immediate injection of £3.75 billion into the NHS, investments into infrastructure (transport and network), freezing duty on fuel, alcohol and air travel, and finally a Brexit contingency budget of £3 billion.

While today’s budget was populist and aimed at the electorate, it has to be noted that the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) sharply downgraded both Britain's productivity and growth forecasts, as well as its business investment forecasts, meaning the UK's finances look set to worsen over the coming years. This does not factor the possibility of a Brexit-related downturn or a wider global recession, which has already been seen as overdue by many forecasters.

We expect the abolition of stamp duty for first time buyers on properties up to £300,000 will draw extra attention and headlines from much of today’s announcements. It is vital that we acknowledge the warnings from the Office for Budget Responsibility.

Angus Dent, CEO, ArchOver:

The UK’s productivity growth continues to decrease and we’re looking in the wrong place for answers. It’s not just a case of everyone working a bit harder. Investment in public infrastructure and fiscal policy will be the defining factors that help the UK catch up, while real growth will come from our SME sector.

Britain is known as a nation of entrepreneurs. Yet we’re in real danger of not giving our SMEs the support they need to thrive. We need a bottom-up approach where small businesses with bright ideas have access to the finance and advice they need to grow. Only then will we have the firm economic foundation we need to build our productivity post-Brexit.

The expansion of the National Investment Fund in today’s Budget is a good start, but too many SMEs still have to pay their way with personal savings or put their houses on the line as security if they turn to the big banks for help.

We need to inspire a new culture. We know there is an army of willing investors out there who want to support British business - lending across P2P platforms is on course to rise by 20 per cent by the end of this year according to data from 4thWay.

However, we need to raise awareness among SMEs of the different options available to help them finance their growth. SMEs need to take control of their own destiny. With the right finance in place, they can drive the whole country forward to new heights of productivity. We can’t just leave it to government – small businesses must be given the power and the cash to fulfil their potential.

Tax

Paul Falvey, tax partner at BDO:

It’s clear that the headline grabbing news revolved around the Chancellor’s decision to abolish stamp duty for first time buyers on properties purchased up to 300,000, at a cost of £600m a year to the tax man. Whilst this is important for people getting on the property ladder, there were other key assertions.

Firstly, HMRC will start to charge more tax on royalties relating to UK sales when those royalties are paid to a low tax jurisdiction.  Although this is only set to raise approximately £200m a year, it sets a precedent that tax avoidance will continue to be on the governments agenda. Implementing the OECD policies is a tactic we expected.

Furthermore, companies will pay additional tax on the increase in value of their capital assets from January 2018. The expected abolition of indexation allowance will mean that, despite falling tax rates, companies will be taxed on higher profits. By 2022/2023 this is expected to raise over £525m.

62% of the businesses we polled before the Budget said they will be willing to pay more taxes in return for a simpler system. Yet, once again, the government has done nothing to tackle the issue of tax complexity. It is a huge obstacle to growth and businesses will be disappointed that there was no commitment to setting out a coherent tax strategy.

Craig Harman is a Tax Specialist at Perrys Chartered Accountants:

Although it was widely anticipated beforehand, the only real rabbit out of the hat moment for the Chancellor was confirming the abolishment of stamp duty for first time buyers. This equates to quite a generous tax incentive for those able to benefit resulting in a £5,000 saving on a £300,000 property purchase.

The Chancellor has also stood by his previous promises, by raising the personal allowance to £11,850, and the higher rate threshold to £43,650. This is in line with the commitment to raise them to £12,500 and £50,000 respectively by the end of parliament.

Small business owners will be pleased to note that speculation regarding a decrease in the VAT registration threshold did not come to fruition. It was anticipated the Chancellor would look to bring the UK in line with other EU countries, however this will be consulted on instead and may result in changes over the next couple of years. Any decrease in the threshold could place a significant tax and compliance burden on the smallest businesses.

Ed Molyneux, CEO and co-founder of FreeAgent

I don’t believe that this is a particularly positive Budget for the micro-business sector. Rather than actually offering real support or meaningful legislation to people running their own businesses in Britain, the Chancellor has simply kept the status quo.

While it’s pleasing to see that the VAT threshold has not been lowered - which would have added a significant new administrative burden to millions of UK business owners - this is hardly cause for celebration. Neither is the exemption of ‘white van men’ from diesel charges, which is the very least that the Government could have done to protect the country’s army of self-employed tradespeople.

It’s also disappointing that there are still a number of issues including digital tax that have not been expanded in this Budget. I would have preferred to see the Chancellor provide clarity on those issues, as well as introducing new legislation to curb the culture of late payment that is plaguing the micro-business sector and further simplifying National Insurance, VAT and other business taxes.

Rob Marchant, Partner, Crowe Clark Whitehill

The Chancellor announced that the VAT registration threshold will not be changed for the next two years while a review is carried out of the implications of changing this (either up or down).

Having a high threshold is often regarded as creating a ‘cliff edge’ for businesses that grow to the point of crossing that line. However, keeping a significant number of small businesses away from the obligations of being VAT registered allows them to focus on running their operations without additional worry. Many small businesses will welcome the retention of the threshold.

The consultation should look at ways to help smooth the effect of the “cliff edge”, while continuing to reduce administrative obligations for small businesses.

Jane Mackay, Head of Tax, Crowe Clark Whitehill

The tax avoidance debate has centred around large multinationals and their corporate tax bills. High profile cases have eroded public trust in how we tax companies. By maintaining the UK’s low corporate tax rate, currently 19%, and reducing it to 17% from 2020, the Chancellor accepts that corporate tax is only of limited relevance in our UK economy. It accounted for around just 7% of UK tax revenues last year.

The Budget announces changes to extend the scope of UK withholding taxes to tax royalty payments in connection with UK sales, even if there is no UK taxable presence. There will be computational and reporting challenges, but this measure may pacify those who feel the UK is not getting enough tax from international digital corporates which generate substantial sales revenues from the UK

Healthcare & Retail

Hitesh Dodhi,Superintendent Pharmacist at PharmacyOutlet.co.uk

With a focus on Brexit, housing and investment into digital infrastructure, it was disappointing to see a many healthcare issues overlooked in today’s Budget. The additional £2.8 billion of funding for the NHS in 2018-19 is a undoubtedly a step in the right direction, but it falls short of the extra £4 billion NHS chief executive Simon Stevens says the organisation requires.

What’s more, the Budget lacked substance and specifics; it did little to progress digitalisation in the healthcare sector – an absolute must – while the opportunity to promote pharmacy to play a greater role in delivering front-line services to alleviate the burden on GPs and hospitals was also overlooked. These are both items that should feature prominently on the Government’s health agenda, but the Chancellor did little to address either in today’s announcement.

Jeremy Cooper, Head of Retail Crowe Clark Whitehill:

There is little in this Budget to bring cheer to the struggling retail sector.

The changes to bring future increases in business rates into line with the Consumer Price Index in 2018, two years earlier than previously proposed, is welcome, but is it enough for hard-stretched shop owners?

The National Living Wage will increase for workers of all ages, including apprentices, which is excellent news for lower paid employees. Retailers would not begrudge them this increase, but retail tends to have a higher proportion of lower paid employees and the impact on store profitability and hurdle rates for new stores should not be underestimated.

There is more positive news for DIY, home furnishings and related retailers in the form of the abolition of Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) for first time house buyers. This should help stimulate the first time buyer market and free up the wider housing market which in turn should boost retail sales for DIY and home furnishings retailers from buyers decorating and furnishing their new homes.

Property & Real Estate

Paresh Raja, CEO of bridging specialist MFS

After an underwhelming Spring Budget that completely overlooked the property market, this time around the Chancellor has at least announced some reforms that will benefit homebuyers. While stamp duty has been cut for first-time homebuyers, the amount of money this will save prospective buyers is in reality still limited – the average first-time buyer spends £200,000 on a property; abolishing stamp duty for them will save them just £1,500.

Importantly, homeowners looking to upgrade to another property still face the heavy financial burden of stamp duty, which will ultimately deter them from moving house. I fear this will have significant implications in the longer term, decreasing the number of people moving from their first property purchase, and thereby reducing the number of properties available for first-time homebuyers, and reducing movement in the market as a whole.

Fareed Nabir, CEO and founder of LetBritain

“Having acknowledged the growing number of Brits stuck in rental accommodation, it’s pleasing to see the Government deliver a Budget heavily geared towards the lettings market. With 7.2 million households likely to be in the rental market by 2025, the Chancellor has seized the opportunity to continue with the recent wave of reforms by offering tax incentives for landlords guaranteeing tenancies of at least 12 months. This should hopefully have a trickle-down effect on rental prices, offering more financial manoeuvrability for tenants saving to buy their own house – something the Chancellor has made easier – while also providing additional security for renters.”

Richard Godmon, tax partner at Menzies LLP

We should to see house price increases almost immediately on the back of this announcement. His commitment to building an extra 300,000 homes a year is not going to happen until 2020s, so this measure could lead to market overheating in the meantime.

The removal of indexation allowance will come as a further blow to buy-to-let landlords, many of whom have been transferring their portfolios into companies since interest the restriction rules were introduced. This will mean paying more tax on the future sale of properties.

Now that all sales of UK investment property by non-residents after April 2019 will be subject to UK tax, it effectively means one of the incentives to invest in UK property by non-residents has been removed.

Jason Harris-Cohen, founder of Open Property Group 

There was a lot of speculation before the Budget that the Chancellor would reduce or temporarily suspend stamp duty for first-time buyers, in a bid to help young people get on the property ladder. What we got was the complete abolishment of the tax on first-time house purchases of up to £300,000, effective from today, and in London and other expensive areas, the first £300,000 of the cost of a £500,000 purchase by first-time buyers will be exempt from stamp duty. This is arguably the biggest talking point of today’s announcement and as the Chancellor says will go a long was to "reviving the dream of home ownership".

It was equally refreshing to hear that the Government is committed to increasing the housing supply by boosting construction skills and they envisage building 300,000 net additional homes a year on average by the mid-2020s. However, I was surprised that local authorities will be able to charge 100% premium on council tax on empty properties, though I appreciate that this is a further stimulus to free up properties sitting empty and bring them back to the open market to increase supply. Conversely this could result in falling house prices if there is further supply and lower demand following a period of political and economic uncertainty.

What was disappointing, however, was the absence of any mention to reverse the stamp duty change that were introduced in 2016 for buy-to-let and second homes, which is currently deterring people from investing in the private rented sector. The longer it is around the more of a knock on effect it will have on the growing homelessness crisis, a problem the Government plans to eliminate by 2027 - a bold statement from Mr Hammond!

We’d love to hear more of Your Thoughts on Phillip Hammond’s Autumn Budget.  Will it benefit Britain and will the reduced growth forecasts have an impact?  Let us know by commenting below.

Here Charu Lahiri, Investment Manager at Heartwood Investment Management, discusses the current challenges at the heart of online retailing and the overall effect click to click has had on commercial property markets.

Online retailing is an evolving landscape that is leading to structural shifts in the commercial property market across the globe. Here in the UK, internet sales now make up 16% of total retail sales compared to less than 4% a decade ago, according to the Office of National Statistics. This trend is expected to grow further; indeed, the average weekly value of internet sales totalled more than £1 billion in September, a 14% increase year-on-year. In fact, the UK leads the rest of Europe in total online sales volume.

Inevitably as retail purchasing trends are changing, demand for traditional bricks-and-mortar retail is falling. Mid-market UK based retailers in the fashion industry are reported to be reducing the number of stores that they plan to open, as well as considering closures at lease expiry. Furniture retailers’ expansion plans have also been curtailed in the last couple of years, with High Street names such as John Lewis and Next having ceased their activity in acquiring stores in the pure homewares market.

Instead, retailers are adapting by restructuring supply chains and, in turn, requiring warehouse and logistics facilities for multi-level purposes. These include e-fulfilment warehouses to prepare and ship orders; picking and sorting; returns; and last mile delivery centres. According to Prologis, every €1 billion spent online requires an additional 775,000 square feet of warehouse space.

Supply constraints and pent-up demand

Supply constraints mean that the warehouse/logistics sector is struggling to keep up with demand, which reached a new peak at the start of 2017 [Source: JLL]. For example, between 2012 and 2016, when e-commerce was expanding, just 13.65m square feet of warehouses was delivered to the market, compared to 40.47m square feet between 2005 and 2009 [Source: Kevin Mofid, Savills].

Constrained supply has been attributed to the lack of developable land, given that the UK market is noted for having high barriers to entry. This has resulted in a shortage of ‘grade A’ prime property: in the fourth quarter of 2016, grade A available supply fell 23% and a further 3.3% during the first quarter of 2017. In addition, speculative completions during 2017 are expected to be lower than historical levels. In part, this decline is due to limited development finance post the Brexit vote, but importantly some occupiers are shifting to purpose-built facilities as much of the existing stock is considered insufficient for e-commerce needs.

Pressure on prime rents

These trends are resulting in high occupancy rates, low vacancy rates and rising pressure on prime rents. According to researchers Cushman & Wakefield, annual prime rental growth ranged from 3.1% in the West Midlands to 13% in Yorkshire in the first quarter of 2017. The South East, East and Yorkshire are seeing the strongest increase in e-commerce demand and rental growth in those areas is above 10% per annum. These supportive conditions offer stable and long-term income opportunities for investors, notwithstanding that the risk premium versus UK gilt yields is compressing.

Overall, the outlook remains constructive for rental growth prospects in the logistics and warehouse sector, due to the underpinnings of strong supply and demand dynamics. Total returns in the industrial and logistics sector should outperform those for office and retail over the next few years. That being said, the UK property cycle is maturing and investors may have to expect lower returns compared with recent history, despite strong fundamentals.

We have for some time advocated an investment approach that is targeted to sectoral trends, but also one that can seek income and return from specific regions. Over recent months we have chosen to invest in UK regions and cities outside of the South East and London, where capital values and yields potentially offer more attractive value. We believe that there are opportunities to be exploited in UK commercial property, but they are now appearing in more specific areas of the market which are undergoing structural change.

Property prices across the world are soaring, with figures in Sydney, Australia reaching new heights as the median house price hits an eye-watering $1.18 million. But, how much house could the average individual buy in different cities across the world?

The current climate in the property sector is a bleak one; house prices are climbing to the highest prices ever recorded, with Australian house price growth surging to a seven-year high. When calculating how much Australian’s can afford, the average salary of 80,278 AUD, a typical loan-to-income ratio of 4.5 times the salary and the average price per foot of property show that 509 sq ft is the biggest size of property average Aussie’s can afford in Sydney. But, with the opportunity to move to bigger and better properties in far-flung cities across the world, would you up-and-go for extra square footage?

Shuffle the interactive piece to view highest to lowest sq ft, lowest to high sq ft and all of the cities included sorted A-Z.

Top 10 biggest property locations

These are the cities where Aussie’s can buy the biggest properties:

1. Cairo, Egypt. 4,883 sq ft
2. Kingston, Jamaica. 2,882 sq ft
3. Marrakech, Morocco. 2,610 sq ft
4. Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. 2,213 sq ft
5. Mexico City, Mexico. 2,186 sq ft
6. Trinidad, Trinidad. 1,734 sq ft
7. Budapest, Hungary. 1,261 sq ft
8. Lisbon, Portugal. 1,178 sq ft
9. Adelaide, Australia. 1,093 sq ft
10. Athens, Greece. 1,053 sq ft

Interestingly, Adelaide takes the 9th spot as the city where Aussie’s can afford the biggest properties with their salary. Other Australian cities featured on the ‘How much can you buy?’ list includes Perth, who take the 14th spot with 838 sq ft, Brisbane at 15th with 727 sq ft and Melbourne, just a few places behind at 18th with 608 sq ft.

Top 10 smallest (most expensive) property locations

These are the cities where the smallest properties are that the average Aussie salary, of 80,278 AUD, can afford to purchase:

1. Monaco, Monaco. 67 sq ft
2. London, UK. 117 sq ft
3. Hong Kong, Hong Kong. 154 sq ft
4. Paris, France. 234 sq ft
5. New York, US. 235 sq ft
6. Tokyo, Japan. 248 sq ft
7. Moscow, Russia. 252 sq ft
8. Mumbai, India. 261 sq ft
9. Vienna, Austria. 277 sq ft
10. Singapore, Singapore. 294 sq ft

Monaco is the most expensive city in the world for Australian’s to buy a home, with most only being able to afford a measly 67 sq ft of property. It may come as a surprise that London, UK takes the second spot as the most expensive city on the list to buy a property with the average Australian only being able to afford 117 sq ft of property in the English capital. Other heavily populated cities make up the rest of the top 5 list and include Hong Kong, Paris and New York.

Just how big are we talking?

To put square footage into perspective, a standard double bed is 28.1 sq ft. This means that in Monaco you can afford a property the equivalent size of 2.3 double beds on the average Australian salary, crazy right? If we apply the same logic to London, that’s just over four double-beds-worth of property on the same salary.

At the other end of the scale, to purchase a 4,883 sq ft property in Cairo, Egypt would be equivalent of 173.8 double beds.

(Source: Assured Removalists)

New research among 2,000 UK adults commissioned by virtual letting agency LetBritain has revealed a mass consumer exodus from offline businesses, finding:

• Half of consumers (51%) rely on online solutions for the vast majority of their products and services;
• 45% of UK adults – 23.10 million people – favour online services over ones that require them to go to physical premises, with 29% refusing to use a business if there is no online service;
• Londoners are the most technologically demanding, with 62% opting for online solutions and a majority(51%) consciously avoid businesses that do not offer online services;
• Looking to the future, 57% of UK adults – 29.26 million people – believe businesses with no online presence will be replaced by online or app-based competitors by 2027;
• When it comes to the rental market, Generation Rent are frustrated by the archaic processes still used by high-street estate agents;
• 31% of adults (15.92 million people) think using high-street letting agents to rent out a property is outdated and burdened by reams of paperwork;
• 25% prefer to use online-only services such as Gumtree or Spareroom.com to source and secure a rental property, with 32% not having the time to use services that require them to visit a physical premise within working hours.

UK adults are turning en masse to online platforms, frustrated by the archaic and out-dated processes used by offline businesses, new research by LetBritain reveals.

An independent, nationally-representative survey of 2,000 UK adults commissioned by virtual letting agency LetBritain has revealed mass consumer discontent with businesses failing to embrace digital disruption, with over half (51%) regularly going online to buy the vast majority of products and services they use. What’s more, 45% favour online services over ones that require them to go into a physical premise, and 29% actively avoid those businesses that do not offer an online service. People in the capital are the most technologically demanding, with 62% of Londoners opting for online solutions and half (51%) consciously avoiding businesses that do not offer online services.

Across UK industries, the rise of digital solutions is enhancing the accessibility, transparency and quality of services available to consumers. In response, the majority of UK society (57%) believes that businesses without an online presence or that require a significant amount of offline communication will be replaced by online-only or app-based alternatives within the next 10 years – equating to nearly 30 million UK adults. This number rises to three in four in the capital.

In light of this, LetBritain’s research found consumer dissatisfaction was particularly prevalent in the letting market, with both renters and landlords voicing their strong discontent at the lack of quick, accessible and easy online services available to those seeking to rent a property. With the annual rate of rental growth recently doubling in the UK, 31% of adults think that using high-street letting agents to rent out a property is outdated and overly-burdened by reams of paperwork.

In response to these widespread frustrations, one in four (25%) UK adults prefer to use online-only services such as Gumtree or Spareroom.com to source and secure a property, with 32% not having the time to use services or undertake transactions that require them to visit physical premises. This trend was particularly pertinent for Londoners – half of people (50%) in the capital rely on online services only when looking for a room or property to rent, with 55% not having the time to physically visit a property or office to undertake or complete a transaction.

Fareed Nabir, CEO of LetBritain, commented on the findings: “Over the past decade, online solutions have drastically transformed the way we  conduct business. Today’s research clearly shows that consumers not only expect but now demand that companies provide their services online. And on that point, the rental market is clearly falling short, with too many high-street real estate agents failing to embrace digital solutions, relying on cumbersome offline processes. For businesses in the rental market, the choice is simple – integrate and embrace online solutions or run the risk of being outpaced by changing consumer demand.”

(Source: LetBritain)

UK adults are turning en masse to online platforms, frustrated by the archaic and out-dated processes used by offline businesses.

An independent, nationally-representative survey of 2,000 UK adults commissioned by virtual letting agency LetBritain has revealed mass consumer discontent with businesses failing to embrace digital disruption, with over half (51%) regularly going online to buy the vast majority of products and services they use. What’s more, 45% favour online services over ones that require them to go into a physical premise, and 29% actively avoid those businesses that do not offer an online service. People in the capital are the most technologically demanding, with 62% of Londoners opting for online solutions and half (51%) consciously avoiding businesses that do not offer online services.

Across UK industries, the rise of digital solutions is enhancing the accessibility, transparency and quality of services available to consumers. In response, the majority of UK society (57%) believes that businesses without an online presence or that require a significant amount of offline communication will be replaced by online-only or app-based alternatives within the next 10 years – equating to nearly 30 million UK adults. This number rises to three in four in the capital.

In light of this, LetBritain’s research found consumer dissatisfaction was particularly prevalent in the letting market, with both renters and landlords voicing their strong discontent at the lack of quick, accessible and easy online services available to those seeking to rent a property. With the annual rate of rental growth recently doubling in the UK, 31% of adults think that using high-street letting agents to rent out a property is outdated and overly-burdened by reams of paperwork.

• Half of consumers (51%) rely on online solutions for the vast majority of their products and services;
• 45% of UK adults – 23.10 million people – favour online services over ones that require them to go to physical premises, with 29% refusing to use a business if there is no online service;
  • Londoners are the most technologically demanding, with 62% opting for online solutions and a majority(51%) consciously avoid businesses that do not offer online services;
• Looking to the future, 57% of UK adults – 29.26 million people – believe businesses with no online presence will be replaced by online or app-based competitors by 2027;
• When it comes to the rental market, Generation Rent are frustrated by the archaic processes still used by high-street estate agents:
  • 31% of adults (15.92 million people) think using high-street letting agents to rent out a property is outdated and burdened by reams of paperwork
  • 25% prefer to use online-only services such as Gumtree or Spareroom.com to source and secure a rental property, with 32% not having the time to use services that require them to visit a physical premise within working hours

In response to these widespread frustrations, one in four (25%) UK adults prefer to use online-only services such as Gumtree or Spareroom.com to source and secure a property, with 32% not having the time to use services or undertake transactions that require them to visit physical premises. This trend was particularly pertinent for Londoners – half of people (50%) in the capital rely on online services only when looking for a room or property to rent, with 55% not having the time to physically visit a property or office to undertake or complete a transaction.

Fareed Nabir, CEO of LetBritain, commented on the findings: “Over the past decade, online solutions have drastically transformed the way we  conduct business. Today’s research clearly shows that consumers not only expect but now demand that companies provide their services online. And on that point, the rental market is clearly falling short, with too many high-street real estate agents failing to embrace digital solutions, relying on cumbersome offline processes. For businesses in the rental market, the choice is simple – integrate and embrace online solutions or run the risk of being outpaced by changing consumer demand.”

(Source: Let Britain)

This month, Finance Monthly had the privilege to interview one of the most prominent thought leaders within the fields of architecture, urbanism and design today – Patrik Schumacher, who has been leading Zaha Hadid Architects since Zaha Hadid’s passing in March 2016. He joined Zaha Hadid in 1988 and was seminal in developing the firm to become a 400-strong global architecture and design brand.

 Patrik Schumacher studied philosophy, mathematics and architecture in Bonn, Stuttgart and London. He received his Diploma in architecture in 1990. He has been a partner at Zaha Hahdid Architects and a co-author on all projects since 2003. In 2010 Patrik Schumacher won the Royal Institute of British Architects’ Stirling Prize for excellence in architecture together with Zaha Hadid, for MAXXI, the National Italian Museum for Art and Architecture of the 21^st century in Rome. He is an academician of the Berlin Academy of Arts.

 In 1996 he founded the Design Research Laboratory at the Architectural Association in London, where he continues to teach. A few years later, in 1999, he completed his PHD at the Institute for Cultural Science, Klagenfurt University. Today Patrik Schumacher is lecturing worldwide and recently held the John Portman Chair in Architecture at Harvard’s GSD. Over the last 20 years, he has contributed over 100 articles to architectural journals and anthologies. In 2008 he coined the phrase ‘Parametricism’ and has since published a series of manifestos promoting Parametricism as the new epochal style for the 21^st century. In 2010/2012 he published his two-volume theoretical opus magnum, titles “The Autopoiesis of Architecture”.

What attracted you to the architecture sector?

 As a high-school boy, I encountered the work of Mies van der Rohe in my History of Art class. I was struck by its cool beauty. Images of Oscar Niemeyer’s Brasilia were another striking inspiration I saw in a movie with Jean-Paul Belmondo, called ‘L'homme de Rio’, 1964. These were my first mediated encounters with modern architecture. Later, I decided to study architecture after I had studied philosophy and mathematics, because it seemed to me to be a versatile field where creativity intersects with a future-oriented, transformative societal agenda.

How has technology changed the architecture sector in recent years?

We are living in a new technological era brought on by the convergence of computation and telecommunication. This technological empowerment is triggering a radical restructuring of the whole reproduction and life process of society. We are now living and working in what I would like to call the Postfordist Network Society, where the most advanced arenas of the world economy focus on R&D, finance, and marketing and where production is more and more automated, relegated to the periphery and subject to continuous reprogramming according to the innovations produced in the R&D hubs. These hubs are the mega cities like London, New York, Tokyo, Seoul, Shanghai etc., where urban concentration continues relentlessly. This has consequences for the complexity, dynamism and degree of integration of the built environment. Cities become intensely networked with urban webs garnering the productive synergies of co-location. These challenges can be met by an architectural design discipline that is upgrading its tools, methodologies and repertoires along the line of the new style I have called ‘Parametricism’.

What are some of the key issues that you and your clients frequently face in relation to UK regulations?

 Regulations are too prescriptive. There are rigid land use prescriptions, and density prescriptions. There are further far too many regulations prescribing the way buildings should be designed and prescriptions about occupation, i.e. the density of occupation in office environments. In the residential sector, the detailed prescriptions of unit mixes, unit sizes, room sizes, number of units per core, balconies, facilities etc. border on the absurd. Urban entrepreneurs and their architects have no room for innovation at all. It’s a scandal that makes all of our lives so much poorer by taking away vital choice and by killing the discovery process of the market.

What incentives are in place to encourage foreign participation in the construction sector in the UK? What else needs to be done?

Unfortunately, the overregulation in the UK comes along with too much discretion on the part of the planners. This introduces paralyzing uncertainty and delays the planning process as developers must engage in lengthy negotiations with planners to gain competitive advantage. Clear rules would be better than overburdening rules plus discretionary powers for planners. This implies that foreign developers have a hard time navigating the system and work in the UK, as intricate knowledge of the processes and personas is required to succeed competitively. This reduces competition and consumers lose out once more.

In your opinion, how could the London's housing crisis be resolved?

 The most important step here is to ease the political supply restrictions, both with respect to the overall quantum of development, and with respect to the programme types and typologies that can be developed. We must allow the housing market to work. In fact, I would hardly call the housing provision in the UK to be a proper market at all. Sadiq Khan seems intent on ramping up “affordable housing”, i.e. housing rationed according to political prerogatives, to 50% of all housing provision. With all the other restrictions mentioned above we can hardly speak of a proper market. In proper markets, we never witness supply crises. There is no car crisis, is there? Or a crisis in food provision. Housing must be de-politicized. Let the market work and affordability will return. Some in central government seem to understand this sometimes, but the forces of local political nimbyism seem to push us further and further in the opposite direction.

What are the top 3 achievements in your career thus far that you are most proud of?

 I have been involved in the design and execution of some beautiful and innovative buildings, I helped to forge a great creative enterprise with a promising future, and I am proud to contribute to the discourse of my discipline via research, writing and teaching.

Your MAXXI Centre of Contemporary Art and Architecture project won the Sterling prize in 2010 – could you tell us a bit more about the project? What were some of the challenges that you were faced with?

MAXXI was our breakthrough project, and it remains one of my most cherished buildings. I am going back rather often and we recently opened our own exhibition within the building. The challenges here were first of all, winning an international competition with a formidable line up of competitors, then to translate the radical design intent into a feasible proposition without losing its power in the process. And then, there was the challenge of navigating the project through the unpredictable political waters of Italy; many governments came and went during the process. MAXXI is a national project.

Can you detail any current projects that you are working on?

 There are too many to list. There are about 25 projects on site, including e.g. a brand new Beijing airport, a large cultural complex in Changsha, an office tower in Beijing, a residential tower in Miami, a residential block in Manhattan, an opera house in Rabat, a mixed use block in Dubai, to name just a few. There are also many more new projects on our drawing boards: Corporate headquarters, railway stations, bridges, mixed-use complexes, and masterplans. We are a global design brand with an interior architecture department, corporate space planning department, and a furniture and product design department. We can deliver an all-round design service and are expanding our global reach with offices in Beijing, Hong Kong, New York, Mexico City and Dubai.

What would be your top three tips for young architects willing to ‘go the extra step’?

Divest yourself of all your nostalgic sensibilities, invest in computational skills, know the history of the field, including its contemporary scene, and read my books to gain an overview about architecture’s societal role.

“Let us all risk a bit more freedom to unleash the incredible potentials of our time.”

Website: http://www.zaha-hadid.com

Only 1 in 300 property purchases by overseas cash buyers are triggering red flags with the National Crime Agency (NCA) in a wakeup call for the UK property market, anti-money laundering (AML) specialists Fortytwo Data have warned.

In the US, a similar jurisdiction to the UK, 5% of home sales are to overseas buyers and 44% of them pay cash according to latest figures¹.

Transposing this trend data onto the UK property market means 26,400 homes are sold each year to overseas cash buyers in Britain, where 1.2m property transactions were the subject of only 355 Suspicious Activity Reports (SARs) in the year to March 2016².

SARs are red flags sent by financial institutions, law firms and estate agents to the National Crime Agency (NCA) when they detect suspicious activity. It comes against a backdrop of widespread fears that foreign criminals have been using the UK property market to store their ill-gotten gains.

Fortytwo Data’s knowledge of the anti-money laundering sector suggests direct overseas transactions are responsible for around a quarter of SARs raised in the UK. This means only 0.33% of cash purchases by overseas buyers are triggering alerts - 1 in every 300 sales.

Estate agents’ reporting responsibilities have been strengthened by the latest EU money laundering directive (4AMLD).

The NCA’s director of the economic crime command, Donald Toon, has offered insights in the past on the scale of the problem, revealing how he believes “the London property market has been skewed by laundered money”³.

The number of SARs submitted by estate agents to the NCA climbed dramatically in 2015/16, rising 98.3% in only a year albeit from a very low base. It was the highest rise of any sector, which suggests lack of awareness and training in the past has been a problem.

The second highest rise came in the gaming industry which saw the number of SARs submitted climb 52.4% to account for 0.37% (1,431) of the 381,882 SARs received by the NCA that year.

Julian Dixon, CEO of Fortytwo Data, said: “There is no doubt that 355 SARs generated by all estate agents is a tiny number. That figure seems to be on the right trajectory but the industry still has a long way to go.

“The residential property market is a golden opportunity for criminals, who are able to take advantage of a sector that, in the past, has not been subject to such stringent money laundering requirements as financial institutions.

“Bricks and mortar is as attractive as ever to organised crime. It’s an ideal way to deposit large sums of cash in a single transaction, allowing them to blend in with the thousands of legitimate cash buyers who purchase property each year.”

The US is a comparable jurisdiction to the UK. The US property market, like Britain’s, is a safe haven for illicit funds because of the rule of law, relatively stable markets and high prices which make money laundering more efficient. Their regulatory regimes are based on identical enforcement frameworks.

(Source: Fortytwo Data)

The Government estimates that between 225,000 and 275,000 homes need to be built per year to keep up with the rate of demand, however only 147,960 have been built for 2016/17 so far.

Many believe that this is because there is not enough money to buy the houses once they are built, as people cannot afford to get on the housing ladder due to the difficulty in saving enough deposit in order to get a mortgage, but this is not really the case as property priced at the more affordable end of the market, tends to be snapped up pretty quickly. In addition, the mortgage market has improved significantly and higher loan to value mortgages are once again available, although not at 100% loan to value as they were before the credit crunch.

There has been criticism over the government’s promise of a £2bn injection to help with funding to build social housing, as Downing Street aides have stated that this will only fund 5,000 of the 60,000 extra new houses needed to be built each year.  Funding is certainly not the major issue and we look at the main problems surrounding building more houses:

Loss of workers thanks to credit crunch and Brexit

When the credit crunch first hit in late 2007, 100% and high loan-to-value mortgages literally disappeared overnight. It happened so fast that even mortgage offers already in place were not honoured as lenders’ funds disappeared. The difficulty obtaining a mortgage made the desire of buying a house nearly impossible for a lot of people. Less people to buy houses impacted builders and property developers very quickly and left them with a lack of work. The demand for tradespeople such as carpenters, plumbers, electricians, bricklayers, etc. was decimated. It is important to realise that this was not a gradual decline over a number of years, it was a massive decline that happened over a matter of months.

The industry shrunk quickly and many people lost their jobs. As so many people skilled in the same trades lost their jobs and were unable to find more work doing the same thing, they were forced to find work outside the building industry and re-train in different sectors.

Over the last ten years, less people have entered the building industry due to lack of job prospects. Now the demand is back and prices are high again, more people will be needed in order to build more houses. Unemployment figures across the country are low so not many workers will be looking for jobs and to add to this problem, many European workers who filled lower paid roles have returned to their home countries due to the stronger Euro and concerns about Brexit. To get more workers, the roles offered will have to be more attractive which will push the cost of building the new houses up further.

Is there longevity in the building industry with the uncertainty of Brexit looming?

When demand for new houses disappeared and jobs were lost, the production of building materials slowed, and for some manufactures, ceased altogether. To build more houses we will need more materials – but the factories have not been waiting on standby for all of this time. To increase the supply of materials, manufactures will have to commit to more production, meaning costs of finding new premises and employing workers.

As specialist bridging loan brokers, many of our customers are business owners and property developers. They tell us that they are reluctant to commit to any new ventures that could be risky at the moment due to the uncertainty for the future, mainly caused by Brexit. Until the country faces a more stable future, many individuals responsible for making decisions needed in order for us to move forwards and build more houses will be remaining cautious and unlikely to spend huge sums of money opening factories or training new workers as they just do not know if it will be profitable, or indeed if it could actually prove very costly.

(Source: Key Loans and Mortgages Ltd)

With an ever-growing need for property, renting in the UK has become go-to game for many home seekers who can’t quite make it into the mortgage market. But what does this mean for the letting side of property? Fareed Nabir, CEO of PropTech platform LetBritain discusses for Finance Monthly.

Over recent weeks we have seen the UK’s two largest political forces host their party conferences. Along with inevitable, frequent mentions of Brexit and a fair amount of scrutiny for both the Labour and Conservative leaders, it also became clear that access to housing is at the top of Westminster’s agenda at present. In this respect, the private rental sector faces particular challenges in providing homes for a growing proportion of the country’s rising population. With the UK population projected to reach 70 million people by mid-2027, PWC estimates that an additional 1.8 million households will enter the UK’s private rental sector over the next eight years.

Central to the growing importance of the private lettings sector is the rising costs associated with purchasing a home. The average value of properties in London has risen by a whopping 78% in the ten years since the onset of the 2007 global financial crisis. Add to this further figures around rising prices for Manchester, the East Midlands and Scotland and a clear picture emerges. Whilst the UK property market may be a fruitful asset class for many investors, more and more UK residents are now coming to rely on the private rental sector as the bottom of the ladder rises out of their reach.

Recognising the value of renting

Reacting to the rising number of people moving out of homeownership, leading political figures have focused on addressing feelings of insecurity expressed by voters. Both the Conservative and Labour parties share a target of building one million new homes by the end of the parliament and are considering the possibility for longer tenancies to become the norm. Labour has taken this one step further and has embraced a policy pursued in cities including Berlin, Stockholm and New York, whereby the government intervenes in various ways to restrict rents.

However, we must also remember that for many people, renting is an extremely attractive option. One of the most attractive aspects of renting is the greater flexibility offered by tenancies relative to ownership. For example, if you have to move to a new city for work, it’s nowhere near as difficult as having to list a property and wait for a sale to be processed. With the UK workforce now more globally and nationally mobile than ever before, we must remember the historic advantages of renting if we are to effectively adapt. The reasons that made renting an attractive option in the past haven’t gone away; in fact they are now truer for more people than ever.

To this end, the emergence of a rising number of tech platforms within the property sector holds significant promise. A property market that was once dependent on bricks and mortar agencies, endless reams of paperwork, lengthy phone calls and poor transparency is fast becoming more efficient; as a result both landlords and tenants are coming to expect more. It’s now possible to begin the process of securing a rental property from anywhere in the world and engage directly with a landlord or their instructed letting agent.

In short, tech has meant that the process of letting a property can be made quicker, cheaper and more transparent for all involved. Commonplace in other aspects of people professional and personal lives, people in the UK today expect tech – everything from bespoke software and apps to slick online platforms and web support – to make hitherto laborious processes far, far easier.

Delivering choice and security

Recent LetBritain research into this emerging development found that 31% of UK adults, the equivalent of 15.92 million people, now think that using high street letting agents to rent out a property is outdated and overburdened by paperwork. A further 25% were found to be relying upon unregulated online-only alternatives to source and secure a rental property. Whilst a number of challenges remain in managing this transition, the scale of public sentiment is resoundingly favourable towards harnessing the power of tech to more conveniently and efficiently facilitate property rentals.

The challenge remains for the sector to deliver choice and security across the letting market. Landlords should not feel the need to put their property at risk by renting to an unreferenced tenant just because they were sourced online, and tenants deserve to know that their legal rights will be observed. If this is achieved, the private rental sector should be able to manage the demand that it’s set to face in the years ahead, with landlords and tenants alike incentivised to be communicative, transparent and forthcoming with all necessary documentation.

As more of us move around or find it difficult to buy in our desired location, digital solutions that enhance and protect the interests of landlords and renters are vital. So while political leaders are focusing heavily on turning Generation Rent into Generation Buy, it is equally important that they promote more progressive approaches for serving all those in the rental market.

There are mixed thoughts across the UK on the current state of the property market and the prospects to come. In some regions economists believe it’s the best it’s been in the last ten years, while others are confident in the current slump, particularly in London. Here Paresh Raja, CEO of Market Financial Solutions (MFS), talks Finance Monthly through his thoughts on the future of the UK property market.

The UK has developed something of an obsession with homeownership. While our European neighbours are content with long-term leasing contracts, homeownership in the UK is as much of a personal milestone as it is a popular financial investment – a report by YouGov found that 80% of British adults are aspiring to buy a property within the next 10 years. As an investment, property is a resilient asset able to withstand periods of market volatility. At the same time, price appreciation as a consequence of demand positively contributes to home equity, increasing its resale value and potential to deliver long-term returns.

The allure of residential real estate has remained consistently high in the UK, and the Brexit announcement has done little to dampen investor appetite for property. The average house price has risen by an average of 0.37% per month since the referendum vote in June 2016. Should this trend continue, house prices could rise by as much as 50% over the next decade. While an impressive feat, the same YouGov report stated that 85% of respondents believes that owning a home is very difficult in today’s economic climate.

To ensure homeownership remains an attainable goal, the Government has pledged to increase the housing stock by promoting the construction of new homes across the UK. A housing white paper released earlier in the year has also set out the Government’s plan to reform the housing market and contribute to housing supply, though little has been done since then to demonstrate the Government’s commitment to supporting property investment. While this is a welcome measure, such a pledge needs to be informed by a long-term strategy that lays down the foundations for the ongoing support of the property market against any future economic and political shifts.

Of course, there are variety of different avenues for aspiring homeowners to jump on the property ladder should they struggle to acquire finance from traditional lenders. The Bank of Mum and Dad (BOMAD) has fast become a leading source of finance for millennials struggling to acquire a mortgage or buy a house in a desirable location. Parents are predicted to lend over £6.5 billion in 2017 to support the property aspirations of their children – a 30% increase on the amount loaned in 2016.

Considering the amount of property wealth that has been amassed by UK retirees and the Baby Boomer generation, the transfer of such wealth through inheritance constitutes a significant proportion of property transactions – a study by Royal London anticipated that over the coming decade, £400 billion worth of real estate would be passed on from older generations to those aged between 25 and 44. This transition will have profound impact on the wider property market.

Recent research commissioned by MFS found that that 36% of people across the country will be inheriting a property – equivalent to 18.64 million people. Interestingly, the research found that over half of people due to inherit a property will be looking to sell it as soon as possible so they can re-invest the money in a different asset or property of their choosing. A third would also look to take advantage of the long-term returns on offer by undertaking some form of refurbishment so that the house is in a better condition to sell or place on the rental market.

The challenge remains for the property sector to provide clear guidance around the options that exist for those seeking to maximise the potential gains of their real estate inheritance, while at the same time bringing new properties onto the market in improved conditions. Taking into account the full range of trends underpinning the property market, homeownership does not have to be an attainable goal for the few. The market is at a critical juncture, and with demand for property consistently high, there are likely to be significant opportunities arising over the coming year.

According to the statistics, Price Central London began to witness a recovery in Q2, both in sales volumes and prices. This follows 2 years of stagnation as buyers held back due to Brexit and residential tax headwinds. The increase in average prices, however, can largely be attributed to a surge of high value sales with buyers taking advantage of price discounting at the luxury end of the market. Underlying price appreciation for the rest of the market remains significantly less buoyant.

England and Wales and Greater London continue to see falling transactions and slower overall price growth, impacted by the introduction of mortgage caps, the instability in the domestic economy and the growing new build crisis.

Price Central London (PCL)

• Sales volumes have strengthened slightly, with an annual increase of 4.8% to 3,885
• Average prices reached £1,946,151 in Q2 2017, representing quarterly price growth of 7.9%
• Despite the statistical increase, this has been buoyed by a number of high value transactions and an increasing proportion of luxury sales
• Q2 2017 saw the most expensive sale ever to transact through Land Registry at £90m for a flat in 199 The Knightsbridge Apartments
• As a result, the top 10% of the market performed particularly strongly in Q2, seeing a 20% increase in average prices to £8m
• The most active sector this quarter was the £5m - £10m bracket, where the proportion of sales increased by 23% over Q1
• Excluding the top 10% of the market, average quarterly price growth was 4.5%
• Growth in the buy to let sector was the most sluggish with a 1.3% increase in average prices for property under £810,000

Average prices in Prime Central London reached £1,946,151 in Q2 2017, following quarterly price growth of 7.9%. Despite a slow down as the market adjusted to increased residential taxation and Brexit, this recovery is, in part, a result of buyers seeking safe havens in the face of increasing uncertainty as tensions mount in the USA, Middle East and worldwide, together with the attractions of weak sterling and low interest rates.

Transactions in PCL have strengthened marginally in Q2, following a prolonged period of falls from 6,044 in Q2 2013. According to LCP’s analysis, 3,885 sales have taken place over the last 12 months, representing a small increase in annual sales of 4.8%.

Notwithstanding the headline figures in Q2, a detailed analysis indicates that price increases have been buoyed by a number of significant high value sales, including £90m for a flat in 199 The Knightsbridge Apartments, the most expensive sale ever to transact through Land Registry. As a result, a particularly strong performance has been seen for the top 10% of the market with prices increasing 20% to average £8m. With this excluded, average growth falls from 7.9% to a more typical 4.5%.

However, whilst homebuyers have capitalised on luxury property discounts, a divergent dynamic is being seen in the lower value market. Price growth in the buy to let sector was the most sluggish, reflecting a 1.3% increase for properties under £810,000. The proportion of sales under £1m also decreased by 9%, compared with a 20% increase over £5m.

Naomi Heaton, CEO of LCP, comments: “The increase in average prices appears to reflect a greater proportion of high value properties being sold, rather than any significant underlying growth. Not only have we seen some very large individual sales but transaction data shows the £5m - £10m bracket was the most active in Q2 with a 23% increase over Q1. This can be attributed to international homebuyers taking advantage of notable price discounts, alongside beneficial currency exchange rates. The buy to let sector, on the other hand, is seeing a much slower picture as investors continue to adopt a wait and see attitude.”

“Looking at the monthly breakdown gives us a clearer picture of what is really happening in the market overall. Whilst bumper transactions boosted average prices to as high as £2.2m in April and May, which included the most expensive sale to register through Land Registry at £90m, June reflected a more sedate picture with average prices falling back to £1.65m.”

Greater London

• Average prices have shown quarterly price growth of 4% and now stand at £634,234
• However, annual transactions fell by 24% in Q2, resulting in a low of 88,545 sales, half those 10 years ago

Heaton comments: “Greater London is principally a domestic market and whilst prices continue to show growth, slowing sales volumes reflect the current state of the UK economy. Concerns around Brexit have impacted the ‘feel good’ factor which drives buyers’ decisions, whilst affordability issues resulting from caps on mortgage lending have hampered buyers ability to trade up or get onto the housing ladder. Falling sales volumes are also exacerbated by problems within the new build sector. This has seen international speculators pull back in the face of uncertain or negative returns. It is reported that the number of new building starts in London will fall to just 21,500 this year, meaning only 18,000 new homes will be built by 2021.”

England and Wales

• Average prices in England and Wales have shown almost nil quarterly price growth at 0.27% and now stand at £287,823
• Transactions fell by 12% in Q2 with 844,380 sales annually, the lowest since Q2 2010

Heaton comments: “Despite Government measures to reduce Stamp Duty for 98% of the market and schemes to promote activity such as Help to Buy, weaker sentiment and restrictions on borrowing continue to impact on the domestic market in England and Wales. With static price growth in Q2 and annual transactions levels falling a further 12.3%, the Government seriously needs to address the growing affordability issues within the sector and support the building of more low-cost housing for buyers. The artificial stimulus packages and tax reliefs do not appear to be reinvigorating new buying activity.”

(Source: London Central Portfolio Limited)

Three in five (60%) people surveyed by Masthaven bank believes that they would find it hard to get a mortgage today - half (50%) of UK homeowners surveyed feel this way, indicating some may feel like mortgage prisoners.

According to a new report by challenger bank Masthaven, the mortgage market is not in tune with modern consumers' evolving needs; the world has changed and the mortgage industry needs to play catch up. Today the bank publishes new data which indicates that UK householders sense a ‘computer says no’ mentality from mortgage lenders.

Masthaven’s Game of Loans report found many people surveyed believe they wouldn’t get a mortgage today. The poll, conducted by Opinium, reveals that both would-be and existing homebuyers are unsure if lenders would support them: 60% of the adults surveyed believe that if they were to buy a home today, it would be hard to get a mortgage. The bank is concerned that half (50%) of all adults who are homeowners surveyed feel this way; and it’s worried that they may feel like mortgage prisoners.

The new study - comprising two surveys of over 2,000 UK adults, in January and July 2017 - found that almost two in three (65%) people polled believes that getting a mortgage is about ‘box ticking’ not the reality of someone’s situation. This opinion has risen markedly by ten percentage points (from 55%) since the first poll in January.

It also highlights how people feel the mortgage market must adapt to appreciate their changing lives – a large majority (81%) of people surveyed believe lenders should make an effort to understand homebuyers’ individual circumstances. This view is strong among people aged 55 or over (88%), UK homeowners (84%) and parents (82%).

Age is a contentious issue

Nearly three in four (74%) people surveyed said they feel that meeting repayment criteria should determine mortgage eligibility, not age. Moreover, three in five (60%) of those surveyed believes that everyone who can afford the repayments when they retire should be eligible for a mortgage. This view has risen up from 53% since the January poll.

Commenting on the findings, Jon Hall, Managing Director of Masthaven said: “Just as homes have kerb-appeal to buyers, it seems people have a perceived sense of their own mortgage-appeal to lenders. Our report highlights how many people believe they have low or no appeal to mortgage lenders; they have little faith in the market. Whether these homeowners’ beliefs are founded or not, the industry cannot ignore how customers feel – their perceptions need attention. I believe the industry can adapt, and we’re publishing the report to encourage lenders to look at the new face of home borrowing: ordinary people with normal lives. The UK mortgage industry must create products and processes that are fit-for-purpose for society today – a world that’s rapidly evolved and looks different to even just a few years ago.”

Time for change

Game of Loans examines four audiences segments: self-employed, older borrowers, parents, and younger borrowers. Masthaven suggests that, despite new mortgage regulations providing a more stable framework, lenders have not adapted their approaches to cope with evolving financial lives. The bank is urging lenders to look closer at individual borrowers’ lives, so they can create products and processes that are fit for modern life. For example:

• Self-employed: Given the continuing rise of this workforce, the mortgage industry needs to take a fresh look at how it can support them. Affordability models need to reflect the concept of self-employed income; in many instances self-employed borrowers cannot even get past the initial mortgage selection criteria and progress their case to a trained mortgage underwriter, who would have the skills to be able to read and assess their company accounts.
• Parents: The robust affordability criteria have been set for a very good reason, but in many cases parents believe they can afford to make the mortgage repayments. Responsible lenders should be working with brokers to help find affordable solutions that are fit for modern families.
• Younger borrowers: Continued innovation is needed to help first-time buyers onto the property ladder. From unlocking intergenerational wealth and helping grandparents and parents with equity in their homes support their families, to boosting the building of affordable homes.
• Older borrowers:  The old adage of paying off your mortgage pre-retirement simply isn’t realistic for many people today. As the Government launches Lifetime ISAs to bolster home ownership for the under 40s, it should also consider solutions for an ageing population which keeps mortgages alive for longer.

Jon Hall added: “The audiences examined in our report aren’t niche groups on the fringes of society, they’re growing segments of the population with modern needs that a thriving mortgage market must address. It shouldn’t be 'game over' for many homebuyers before they’ve even put a foot on the property ladder. As a bank we need to make sure our application of the affordability rules are revisited regularly, to check hard-working householders are not being excluded from the mortgage market.  As a specialist lender we put people at the heart of the solution. Manual underwriting drives our decision-making rather than technology, and we work in tandem with brokers to assess customers’ individual needs.  I’m concerned to hear so many borrowers feel unsupported when in reality an experienced lender, with flexible processes and great broker partnerships, may be able to help.”

Other key findings

Alongside how difficult they felt it would be to get a mortgage, Masthaven asked people their views on other topics, including: the mortgage process, the UK housing shortage, intergenerational disparity, and lending into retirement.

Over half (55%) of self-employed respondents believes they would find it hard to get a mortgage today; and 70% of them feel that getting a mortgage is about which financial boxes you ‘tick’, not the reality of your situation.

Respondents’ perception of their ‘mortgage-appeal’ varied across the UK. Respondents in Wales have the strongest doubts - 72% believe they would find it hard to get a mortgage today, compared to 53% in Scotland. 68% of people in the East of England feel it would be hard, compared to 50% in Yorkshire & Humberside.

While many (73%) respondents have never used a mortgage broker or adviser, over a quarter (27%) have. Among the latter group, almost one in five (19%) said it was because their circumstances were “complicated”.

Three in four (75%) respondents believes it is unfair the young are struggling to get onto the housing ladder today. This view rises to 78% among people aged 55 or over. It drops to 72% among men, but rises to 78% among women.

Many people surveyed believe the UK housing gap will grow:  61% predict the shortage of affordable homes will increase in the next five years; this rises to 64% among people aged 55+ and is felt strongest (68%) in Scotland.

Nearly three in five (58%) respondents believes the price difference between homes in the north and south of the UK will increase in the next five years, but views vary - ranging from 79% in Newcastle to 44% in Cardiff.

More than two in three (67%) people polled thinks UK interest rates will increase in the next five years; meanwhile almost a third (32%) believes the average wage of homeowners will decrease in the next five years.

(Source: Masthaven Bank)